Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 2645.404497 2851.357796 3057.891394 3280.226992 3512.491993 3747.664655 4003.471949
2025-12-21 2255.938441 2561.664238 2877.910763 3228.277225 3604.398448 3994.923274 4429.931463
2025-12-28 2110.668390 2488.635263 2888.321740 3339.994407 3833.813277 4355.043762 4944.530442
2026-01-04 1963.073067 2392.426003 2855.214844 3387.061134 3977.431656 4608.985093 5331.993746
2026-01-11 1817.662261 2284.648378 2796.958827 3394.733592 4067.299975 4795.269854 5637.456807
2026-01-18 1692.624956 2189.928123 2744.494589 3400.590472 4147.751177 4964.882189 5918.925861
2026-01-25 1586.485104 2109.478252 2701.683273 3411.280805 4228.270127 5130.093486 6191.602635
2026-02-01 1471.980438 2012.289309 2633.581437 3387.458913 4264.753681 5241.841056 6400.888348
2026-02-08 1385.561764 1943.625700 2594.480906 3393.288255 4331.797000 5385.364374 6643.656077
2026-02-15 1292.107105 1861.437489 2535.115360 3371.490192 4363.531459 5485.910429 6835.314499
2026-02-22 1245.922829 1834.996544 2540.386051 3424.334450 4480.839108 5683.583018 7137.203575
2026-03-01 1185.781620 1787.896072 2518.005838 3441.852285 4554.762281 5829.768628 7378.940453
2026-03-08 1111.796143 1721.097715 2470.309745 3428.476923 4592.631263 5935.470116 7576.361421
2026-03-15 1023.034180 1631.278726 2390.897664 3373.778088 4579.056173 5979.539622 7701.261875
2026-03-22 1018.077823 1651.353322 2449.294501 3488.594895 4769.677709 6264.308010 8107.927511
2026-03-29 984.339010 1631.087626 2455.045541 3536.967387 4879.036824 6452.555601 8401.329768
2026-04-05 935.399931 1587.937641 2429.638782 3544.852154 4937.867497 6579.939919 8622.555058
2026-04-12 888.790192 1545.854894 2403.903644 3550.870994 4993.273573 6702.435661 8837.483001
2026-04-19 847.046237 1508.669370 2383.072219 3561.856682 5053.838583 6830.462324 9058.585565
2026-04-26 793.916846 1452.956891 2335.829574 3537.376162 5069.047320 6902.826420 9212.617722
2026-05-03 755.441111 1416.625083 2313.102978 3543.366833 5121.399623 7019.535866 9419.310524
2026-05-10 708.784213 1366.197207 2269.657155 3520.964974 5136.929159 7090.602656 9570.571018
2026-05-17 691.938555 1359.354676 2285.084539 3575.270510 5249.082201 7279.596120 9864.042441